Discurso da “nova política” perde força, avalia Arko Advice
Depois de dominar as últimas eleições no Brasil, o discurso da "nova política" parece ter perdido força nas disputas regionais de 2020. Na avaliação de Cristiano Noronha, cientista político da Arko Advice, exemplo disso vem das duas maiores capitais do país, São Paulo e Rio de Janeiro, que caminham para um embate com políticos que estão ou já estiveram na prefeitura.
De acordo com pesquisa de boca de urna do Ibope, Bruno Covas (PSDB) busca a reeleição em São Paulo contra Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) em São Paulo. Já no Rio, se confirmada a boca de urna, a disputa ficará entre Eduardo Paes (DEM) e Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos).
"As eleições estão deixando algumas mensagens. No Rio, a disputa deve ser entre um ex-prefeito e um prefeito no segundo turno. São políticos tradicionais. Já em São Paulo, o Bruno Covas está indo para segundo turno em busca da reeleição contra Guilherme Boulos, que é uma liderança emergente da esquerda, desbancando o PT. Isso também mostra o desgaste do PT em São Paulo", diz o analista.
De forma geral, os resultados das pesquisas mostram que "a nova política não necessariamente predomina neste ano". Frustrações recentes com alguns representantes, como o governador afastado do Rio, Wilson Witzel (PSC), por exemplo, pode ter amenizado esse discurso. Além disso, a pandemia de covid-19 parece ter mudado o foco da população.
Noronha explica que, embora o presidente Jair Bolsonaro tenha surfado a onda da nova política na disputa de 2018, não é possível afirmar que ele sai fragilizado das eleições municipais. O cientista político afirma que, em São Paulo, Bolsonaro apoio Celso Russomano (Republicanos) que não decolou, mas apoio Crivella, no Rio, e o candidato está no segundo turno.
"Não pode ser considerado necessariamente uma fragilidade para Bolsonaro", diz. Ele lembra que o ex-presidente Lula conseguiu emplacar a candidatura de sua sucessora, Dilma Rousseff, mas não foi um cabo eleitoral tão...
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