Problema ‘1, e 2 e 3’ da economia global passou a ser a inflação, diz Stuhlberger
O gestor do Fundo Verde, CEO e CIO da Verde Asset, Luis Stuhlberger, afirma que a principal preocupação da economia global deixou de ser a covid-19 ou a guerra da Ucrânia e que o problema “número 1, 2 e 3” passou a ser a inflação, principalmente nos Estados Unidos.
A reação dos mercados após a última reunião do Federal Reserve (Fed, o Banco Central dos EUA), quando a autoridade monetária intensificou o ritmo de aperto monetário, elevando os juros básicos em 0,75 ponto percentual, ilustra isso. “A reação dos mercados foi de: ‘Se o Fed está em pânico, eu também estou’. É mais ou menos essa reação que fez essa queda abrupta marginal das bolsas”, disse em um evento de 25 anos do fundo Verde.
Em meio a uma recuperação acelerada da economia e do emprego nos EUA, há uma série de fatores que dificultam o trabalho da autoridade monetária norte-americana em "domar a inflação”, afirma. Na comparação com outras recessões, foi a recuperação de empregos mais rápida da história do país. Houve também um forte acúmulo de poupança e “ainda tem muito dinheiro sobrando”.
Stuhlberger destacou o forte peso da inflação de aluguel sobre o índice geral e disse ainda que o Fed errou ao imaginar que a inflação de bens não fosse contaminar a de serviços. “A verdade é que está contaminando a inflação de serviços em todos os lugares do mundo, de forma muito forte nos EUA, surpreendentemente forte...
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