Aceleração de importação reduz superávit comercial previsto para 2021, diz FGV Ibre
A aceleração das importações nos últimos meses e a perda de ritmo das exportações deve levar a um superávit comercial abaixo do que se esperava em meados do ano, o que já se reflete nas projeções, aponta o boletim do Indicador de Comércio Exterior (Icomex) divulgado nesta quinta-feira (16) pelo Instituto Brasileiro de Economia da Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV Ibre).
O boletim lembra que no fim de janeiro o saldo positivo esperado para a balança de 2021 era de US$ 55 bilhões, segundo o relatório Focus divulgado pelo Banco Central. Ao fim de julho, sob efeito da alta de preços das commodities nos embarques brasileiros, a estimativa subiu para superávit para US$ 70,4 bilhões. No último relatório o saldo projetado caiu para US$ 59,9 bilhões.
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A redução nas estimativas de superávit aconteceu gradualmente, à medida que os preços de commodities passaram a devolver parte da alta e se ajustaram. A aceleração de preços das importações nos últimos meses também contribuiu para isso.
E novembro, destaca o boletim, a variação nos preços das importações em 34,2% superou a das exportações, que foi de 25,1%. Em termos de volume, detalha a divulgação, as exportações recuaram desde outubro e, na comparação entre os meses de novembro...
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