Aprovação da PEC dos Precatórios na Câmara traz alívio, mas inflação nos EUA limita baixa do dólar
O dólar comercial opera em queda praticamente deste o início do pregão de hoje, em uma espécie de "rali de alívio" também visto em outros ativos domésticos após a aprovação, em segundo turno, da PEC dos Precatórios na Câmara. No entanto, a intensidade do movimento vem se reduzindo, na esteira de um fortalecimento do dólar global após dados mais fortes que o esperado da inflação nos Estados Unidos.
Por volta das 13h20, a moeda americana perdia 0,23%, a R$ 5,4841, após mínima de R$ 5,4361.
No exterior, os agentes reagem ao avanço de 0,6% do núcleo do índice de preços ao consumidor americano em outubro na base mensal, contra expectativa de 0,4%. Em 12 meses, o indicador chega a 4,6%, contra expectativa de 4,3%. Já o índice cheio chegou a 6,2% na base anual.
"A inflação deve continuar a subir e não podemos descartar chegar na casa dos 7,0% nos próximos meses", dizem economistas do ING. "Dado este cenário de forte crescimento e inflação acelerando no curto prazo, o argumento para uma aceleração da normalização da política monetária do Federal Reserve está crescendo. Por isto, nossa visão de que o QE deve terminar no primeiro trimestre e que ocorram ao menos duas altas de juros na segunda metade de 2022."
No Brasil, no entanto, os mercados ainda se beneficiam da redução das incertezas após a aprovação em segundo turno da PEC dos precatórios na Câmara. O texto ainda precisa passar pelo Senado, mas seu encaminhamento ajuda o mercado, pelo menos, "voltar a poder desenhar cenário...
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