BC: Probabilidade de IPCA terminar 2023 abaixo do piso da meta é 0% e de ficar acima do teto é 67%
A probabilidade de o Indice de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA) terminar 2023 abaixo do piso da meta é 0% e de ficar acima do teto é 67%, de acordo com as estimativas feitas pelo Banco Central (BC) no Relatório Trimestral de Inflação (RTI) de setembro. O documento foi divulgado nesta quinta-feira (28).Para 2024, a chance de ficar abaixo é 7% e de ficar acima é 24%. Para 2025, 12% de ficar abaixo e 16% de ficar acima. Para 2026, 12% de ficar abaixo e 16% de ficar acima.Esse cenário pressupõe taxa de juros extraída da pesquisa Focus. Já a taxa de câmbio começa em R$ 4,90, a média da semana anterior à reunião do Comitê de Política Monetária, e evolui de acordo com a paridade do poder de compra."O preço do petróleo segue aproximadamente a curva futura pelos próximos seis meses e passa a aumentar 2% ao ano posteriormente", disse também o BC. "Além disso, adota-se a hipótese de bandeira tarifária ‘verde’ em dezembro de 2023, de 2024 e de 2025"As...
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