Bônus da Venezuela vira 'loteria' em aposta de trégua com EUA
É uma das apostas mais excêntricas no mercado de crédito mundial: comprar títulos inadimplentes de um país sob sanções que deixam investidores dos EUA de fora.No entanto, para operadores dispostos a assumir o risco, há dinheiro demais em jogo para deixar passar dívidas negociadas a apenas 2 centavos por dólar. É semelhante a comprar um bilhete de loteria, e um punhado de fundos latino-americanos e europeus tem ido à compra de títulos da Venezuela, com sinais de menos tensão entre Washington e Caracas."Você não pode pensar nos títulos venezuelanos como um título normal — eles são mais como uma opção", disse Guillermo Guerrero, estrategista sênior da corretora EMFI, com sede em Londres, que recomendou notas do governo e da estatal petrolífera PDVSA aos clientes este mês. "Você está pagando um preço extremamente baixo para comprar exposição a uma possibilidade."A possibilidade é uma trégua nas sanções que acabaria abrindo caminho para o governo da Venezuela reestruturar as notas, que têm um valor nominal de cerca de US$ 60 bilhões. Embora rodadas anteriores de especulação tenham queimado os investidores quando os negócios não se concretizaram, o recente diálogo entre Washington e Caracas alimenta o otimismo. Os analistas estão cada vez mais esperançosos de que os EUA afrouxem algumas penalidades após as eleições...
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