Brazilian stock market still shows after-effects of pandemic
Wednesday’s trading session marked the second anniversary of when Brazil’s benchmark stock index Ibovespa reached its lowest point during the Covid-19 crash. Since then, the global economy and the capital market have gone through several cycles that helped to distorted the prices of several stocks in the Brazilian stock market.A survey carried out by Valor Data found that, two years after Ibovespa reached its lowest level, of 63,569 points, and its strong recovery - it closed at 117,457 on Wednesday - some companies are still strongly depressed, in some cases with a market capitalization below the one seen on that low point.This is the case of retailer Magazine Luiza, which on Wednesday had a nominal market cap R$8.6 billion lower than the one seen two years ago. Or developer Eztec, which shrunk by R$2.1 billion in the period. Construction company MRV, toll road operator EcoRodovias and BR Malls have recovered from losses recently and posted a positive balance of R$728 million, R$363 million and R$675 million, respectively.Since the index almost doubled in score, there are also clearly positive highlights, mostly blue-chip companies. Among banks, Itaú grew R$51 billion, Bradesco advanced R$58.5 billion, Santander gained R$44.8 billion and Banco do Brasil is worth R$36.6 billion more now. Oil giant Petrobras and mining company Vale, which start from a higher base given their size, gained R$279 billion and R$302 billion in market cap in the period.But despite the snapshot, the Ibovespa could not have been in a less static way in the last two years. The volatility caused by the pandemic gave rise to several small cycles in the capital markets, making stocks gain and lose attractiveness quickly.Alexandre Sabanai, a manager at Perfin, recalled that in March 2020, while the stock markets crashed, the market spent a few days without a reference. At that point, six circuit breakers were triggered in eight days between March 9 and 18."Agents price risks and returns well, but they don’t know how to deal with uncertainty. We didn’t know how lethal the virus was, how long it would take for infections to stabilize, so the start was difficult. When the initial panic passed, investors started to evaluate the sectors that would suffer the most."So while part of the assets showed a first sign of recovery, mainly from essential sectors such as supermarkets, pharmacies, sanitation and energy, others had a harder time, such as shopping centers, airlines...
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