China vive situação sem precedentes de saída de capital, diz IIF
O fluxo global de capitais parece viver o início de um processo de realinhamento, aponta o Instituto de Finanças Internacionais (IIF, na sigla em inglês). Segundo relatório da entidade, esse movimento, basicamente, mostra um fluxo de saída de recursos de curto prazo da China, cenário classificado pelo IIF como “muito pouco usual”, e, ainda por cima, em uma escala e intensidade “sem precedentes”.
O instituto explica que seu acompanhamento de fluxo diário de alta frequência, relacionado a investimentos de não residentes em portfólios, como ações e renda fixa, mostra que a saída começou após a invasão da Ucrânia pela Rússia no fim de fevereiro. O órgão indica ainda que, além do volume, chama a atenção o fato de que esse comportamento do capital não ocorre em outros mercados emergentes.
“Não temos visto fluxos de saída similares no resto dos mercados emergentes, mas, nesse estágio, é muito cedo para dizer que o movimento relacionado à China representa uma mudança estrutural”, dizem os analistas Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun e Jack Pingle, que assinam o levantamento. “Mas o momento de início da saída sugere que a invasão da Ucrânia...
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