Desemprego retoma padrão sazonal, mas também pode ter efeito de desaceleração, diz IBGE
O aumento do desemprego no primeiro trimestre retoma o padrão sazonal do período e não é possível diferenciar o que é impacto da sazonalidade do que é um eventual efeito de uma desaceleração da atividade econômica.A avaliação foi feita há pouco pela coordenadora de Trabalho e Rendimento do Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE), Adriana Beringuy, ao comentar o resultado da Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios (Pnad) Contínua no primeiro trimestre."Esse aumento da taxa de desocupação é observado em todos os anos da série da Pnad Contínua, com única exceção de 2022. Então, a gente entra em 2023 aparentemente reprisando um comportamento sazonal já rotineiramente observado na série histórica da pesquisa", afirmou ela.Questionada sobre eventual impacto de desaceleração da atividade econômica, Beringuy foi enfática ao explicar que não é possível diferenciar isso dos efeitos sazonais típicos de um primeiro trimestre."A gente sabe que o mercado de trabalho responde à dinâmica dos indicadores econômicos, principalmente os ligados à produção de bens e serviços, mas não dá para diferenciar o que é componente sazonal ou herdado por retração da atividade econômica. Não é fácil desagregar o que são efeitos sazonais ou já efeitos de uma possível desaceleração econômica", disse.A taxa de...
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