Dólar abre perto da estabilidade e juros operam mistos
O dólar comercial iniciou o pregão desta segunda-feira (31) perto da estabilidade, enquanto os juros futuros operavam sem direção única nos primeiros negócios, de olho no desempenho dos ativos no exterior e na piora das projeções de inflação do Boletim Focus do Banco Central.
Por volta de 9h50, a moeda americana operava em queda marginal de 0,10%, cotada a R$ 5,3846. No exterior, o dólar recuava em relação às divisas emergentes pares no mesmo horário, caindo 0,1% contra peso mexicano e rublo russo; 0,3% contra rand sul-africano e 0,9% diante da lira turca.
Já os juros tinham comportamentos mistos na abertura da sessão. A taxa do contrato futuro de Depósito Interfinanceiro (DI) para janeiro de 2023 subia de 12,26% no ajuste anterior para 12,29%; a do DI janeiro de 2024 avançava de 11,79% para 11,81%; a do DI janeiro de 2025 caía de 11,35% para 11,305%; a do DI janeiro de 2027 diminuía de 11,33% para 11,265%.
No momento, a curva de juros americana segue se achatando (ou seja, a diferença entre as taxas longas e curtas continua diminuindo), conforme os rendimentos dos títulos do Tesouro americano (Treasuries) de dois anos avançam 4 pontos-base para 1,21% e a taxa projetada pela T-note de dez anos sobe 2 pontos-base, para 1,8% no momento.
O Focus exposto mais cedo apontou que as perspectivas de inflação pioraram entre os economistas consultados pelo BC. A mediana das expectativas para IPCA em 2022 saltou de 5,15% para 5,38%, enquanto o ponto-médio para inflação em 2023 subiu de 3,40% para 3,50%. A Selic mediana de fim de 2022 teve alta de 11,50% para 11,75%.
A decisão do Comitê de Política Monetária (Copom) do Banco Central domina as atenções dos mercados nesta semana, em meio ao desenrolar adverso do cenário de inflação doméstico e ao aumento das preocupações sobre o rumo da política monetária no mundo desenvolvido. A...
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