Dólar encosta em R$ 5,50 após dados dos EUA e fala de dirigente do Fed
O primeiro pregão da semana - mais curta por aqui por causa do feriado de 15 de novembro - foi marcado por um fortalecimento generalizado do dólar em todo o mundo. Apoiado por uma combinação de dados mais fortes que o esperado nos Estados Unidos e também comentários mais ‘hawk’ (inclinados à retirada do estímulos) por parte de um dirigente do Federal Reserve, o ativo encostou nas máximas em 16 meses contra o euro.
No Brasil, em um dia de agenda fraca, o comportamento dos agentes acabou direcionado pelo viés trazido de fora. No encerramento do dia, a moeda americana foi negociada em alta de 0,75%. a R$ 5,4991, perto da máxima intradiária de R$ 5,5087.
No mesmo horário, o dólar avançava 0,51% frente ao peso mexicano, 0,87% contra o rublo russo e 2,18% ante a lira turca. Já o índice DXY da ICE subia 0,47%, aos 95,91 pontos.
Entre os destaques do dia está a participação do presidente do Fed de St. Louis, James Bullard, em um programa de TV americano. O dirigente afirmou que o Fed deve se tornar mais 'hawk' (inclinado à retirada dos estímulos), podendo inclusive acelerar o ritmo da redução da compra de ativos se necessário.
Bullard é reconhecidamente um membro da ala mais inflexível com a inflação e terá direito a voto ano que vem. Ele disse ainda que concorda com a precificação do mercado de dois aumentos de juros pelo Fed em 2022.
Na agenda de indicadores, outro sinal de que o dinamismo da economia americana segue surpreendendo - o que acaba reforçando o receio de uma antecipação da redução dos estímulos. As vendas no varejo de outubro subiram avançava 1,7% na comparação mensal, acima do consenso de 1,5%. Já a produção industrial saltou 1,6% no período, contra uma expectativa de 0,8%.
“A forte queda da confiança do consumidor não está se traduzindo em queda dos gastos. As famílias certamente se preocupam com a inflação, mas a renda e a riqueza crescem fortemente, o que deve permitir que...
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