Dólar fecha abaixo dos R$ 5,40 com entrada de fluxo estrangeiro
Mesmo diante de uma correção na bolsa brasileira, o real encontrou fôlego para voltar a se valorizar nesta sexta-feira, encerrando o pregão abaixo de R$ 5,40 pela primeira vez desde 1º de outubro. Empurrado ainda por um movimento especulativo ligado ao vencimento de opções no último pregão do mês, na segunda-feira, a moeda americana anotou sua terceira semana consecutiva de baixa no Brasil, período no qual acumula queda de 3,31%.
Após um início de pregão volátil, o dólar firmou o viés negativo e fechou cotado a R$ 5,3900, baixa de 0,60%. Esta é a primeira vez que ele fecha abaixo de R$ 5,40 desde 1º de outubro. Na ocasião, a moeda americana fechou em R$ 5,3684.
“As moedas emergentes têm se comportado bem no começo deste ano, o que ficou evidente tanto no momento em que os juros americanos tiveram um salto como agora, em meio à correção das ações americanas", anotam economistas do Citi. Eles notam ainda que a postura dos investidores neste momento é oposta àquela vista nos dois últimos anos, com preferência por divisas latino-americanas em detrimento das asiáticas.
"Uma das razões é que, naquele momento, tudo foi levado pelo estímulo fiscal e monetário excessivo nos Estados Unidos. Com ambas as fontes secando, é natural que os ativos de melhor desempenho invertam de posição agora".
Para o sócio e diretor-executivo da Armor Capital, Alfredo Menezes, além do fluxo estrangeiro em direção ao Brasil, um dos fatores que ajudou a derrubar a moeda americana foi a concentração de opções de venda (put) do dólar - cerca de US$...
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