Dólar ganha força após deflação do IGP-M e exterior
O dólar à vista exibiu valorização contra o real na sessão desta terça-feira, em um movimento alinhado ao da maioria das divisas de mercados emergentes, principalmente frente às atreladas a commodities. Além disso, a surpresa com a intensidade da deflação do IGP-M de maio também surpreendeu os agentes e ajudou a influenciar os negócios, que chegaram ao fim com o dólar em alta de 0,60%, cotado a R$ 5,0423.Na esteira de comentários recentes e mais otimistas sobre o cenário para a inflação pelo presidente do Banco Central, Roberto Campos Neto, o IGP-M de maio veio abaixo da mediana das estimativas do mercado, reportando deflação de 1,84%. Com isso, os juros futuros operaram em queda ao longo da sessão, e a perspectiva de um carrego menor derivado do diferencial de juros para o câmbio penalizou a moeda brasileira.No mercado doméstico, o dólar chegou a R$ 5,0692 na máxima e, na mínima do dia, operou a R$ 5,0005. Além disso, perto das 17h20, o contrato futuro para junho da moeda americana avançava 0,60%, a R$ 5,0750.Hoje, o dólar apresentou força contra as principais moedas de mercados emergentes e, no fim da tarde, avançava 0,32% ante o peso mexicano; 0,46% ante o peso chileno; e 0,14% ante o rand sul-africano. O real estava com o quarto pior desempenho da sessão em uma cesta das 33 moedas mais líquidas acompanhadas pelo Valor, apenas à frente da coroa norueguesa, do sol peruano e da lira turca. Já o índice DXY, que mede a força do dólar contra uma cesta de seis moedas de mercados desenvolvidos, recuava 0,16%, a 104,092 pontos.A soma de um cenário externo ruim para a moeda brasileira e de um ambiente doméstico desfavorável, conforme apontaram operadores de câmbio, ajudou a penalizar o real nesta terça-feira. Em relação ao ambiente externo o analista Roberto Motta, da Genial Investimentos, indica como vento contrário a força recente da moeda americana contra divisas emergentes e também a queda dos preços de commodities."Já por aqui, tivemos, mais uma vez, o mercado se animando com um dado de preços mais fraco, como o IGP-M, e com os comentários do Campos Neto. E, em vez de olhar um copo meio cheio, com a conta comercial positiva, o mercado passou a ver um cenário...
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