Dólar e juros futuros recuam de olho em eleições nos EUA e ata do Copom
O dólar e os juros futuros operam em queda nesta terça-feira, alinhando-se ao movimento de busca por ativos de risco no exterior. Chegado o dia da eleição presidencial nos Estados Unidos, a sessão é marcada por ganhos robustos nos mercados de ações e nas moedas emergentes, enquanto os investidores locais também seguem de olho nas sinalizações do Comitê de Política Monetária (Copom) e no cenário fiscal.
Perto de 9h40, o dólar comercial perdia 0,89%, saindo a R$ 5,6868. Vale dizer que o recuo do dólar contra o real é bem mais contido que o observado nos demais mercados emergentes, tendo em vista que o câmbio local se ajusta após feriado de Dia de Finados. Ontem, o dólar ganhou força contra as divisas emergentes, mas hoje opera em firme queda.
No exterior, existe a leitura de que uma vitória do democrata Joe Biden, com possível maioria dos seus partidários na Câmara e no Senado, poderia significar um avanço mais célere rumo a um novo pacote fiscal americano. De acordo com os estrategistas do Credit Suisse, uma vitória geral dos democratas deve trazer estímulos na casa de US$ 1,5 trilhão a US$ 2,2 trilhões (7% a 10% do PIB), comparado com cerca de US$ 500 bilhões em um cenário de Biden com um Senado republicano.
Ainda que haja incertezas, principalmente sobre o resultado no Senado e a postura do atual presidente americano, Donald Trump, no caso de uma derrota na disputa pela Casa Branca, o dia é marcado por valorização de ativos de risco.
Além dos desdobramentos do cenário no exterior, os investidores também avaliam os sinais deixados pelo Copom do Banco Central (BC) na ata da última reunião. Os membros do Copom debateram sobre a manutenção da sinalização de que “o espaço remanescente para utilização da política monetária, se houver, deve ser pequeno”. O comitê avaliou que essa sinalização está ligada às restrições de caráter prudencial para movimentos de...
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