Dólar opera em forte alta e bate R$ 5,25 com riscos locais no radar
Diante dos ruídos políticos e fiscais que se avolumam na cena doméstica brasileira, o dólar iniciou os negócios desta terça-feira registrando forte alta contra o real, enquanto os juros futuros também subiam, ponderando a piora dos riscos locais e aguardando pela decisão do Comitê de Política Monetária (Copom), na quarta-feira.
Ao redor das 10 horas, o dólar comercial era cotado a R$ 5,2352 no mercado à vista, disparando 1,35%. Na máxima do dia, alcançou R$ 5,2562.
A Commcor nota que, na véspera do Copom, os ativos locais mostram “fragilidade ímpar em meio às tensões políticas e fiscais”, com destaque à CPI da Covid, o conflito entre Poderes e a “ofensiva populista” do presidente Jair Bolsonaro por meio de um programa social “bombado” que torna a trajetória fiscal ainda mais delicada.
A corretora observa ainda que agentes de mercado devem continuar observando a instauração de inquérito administrativo pelo Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) contra Bolsonaro, com notícia-crime enviada ao Supremo Tribunal Federal (STF), em razão de críticas e ameaças ao sistema eleitoral.
No mercado de juros, as taxas futuras ao longo de toda a extensão da curva a termo disparavam quase 30 pontos-base (0,3 ponto percentual) na porção longa da curva. O juro do contrato de Depósito Interfinanceiro (DI) para janeiro de 2022 avançava de 6,30% no ajuste anterior para 6,355%; a do DI para janeiro de 2023 disparava de 7,85% para 7,99%; a do contrato para janeiro de 2025 variava de 8,77% para 9% e a do DI para janeiro de 2027 tinha alta de 9,08% para 9,34%.
“A escolha de call para esta terça-feira é de continuidade de abertura [alta] de taxas da curva, diante de informações domésticas mais desconfortáveis”, aponta a Renascença. Na agenda de indicadores, o destaque para o contexto inflacionário do Indice Preços ao Consumidor da Fipe, que acelerou de 0,90% para 1,02% na passagem da...
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