Dólar sobe com fiscal de volta ao centro das preocupações
As incertezas relativas à tramitação da PEC dos Precatórios no Senado pesaram sobre o apetite por risco do investidor local hoje. Mesmo diante de uma pausa do rali do dólar no exterior, que vinha pesando sobre as moedas emergentes nos últimos pregões, o real acabou não sustentando a valorização vista na abertura e acabou fechando o dia no vermelho.
No encerramento dos negócios, a moeda americana foi cotada a R$ 5,5246, alta de R$ 0,46% e perto da máxima intradiária, de R$ 5,5327. No mesmo horário, o dólar cedia 0,47% frente ao peso mexicano e 0,84% contra o rublo russo, mas avançava 2,45% contra a lira turca - esta última se deprecia fortemente na esteira da expectativa de nova queda da taxa de juros local. Já o índice DXY da ICE, que compara o dólar contra uma cesta de moedas desenvolvidas, caía 0,12%, aos 95,80 pontos.
"Eu, na verdade, tenho me surpreendido com essas aberturas em queda do dólar. Com a alta dos rendimentos dos Treasuries lá fora, casado comprador e cupom em alta, fora todas as nossas notícias domésticas envolvendo mais aumentos de gastos, o mercado está comprador", diz um profissional do mercado.
Embora o líder do governo no Senado, Fernando Bezerra Coelho (MDB-PE), tenha repetido hoje que as negociações com têm avançado na Casa, ainda restam temores de que modificações sejam aprovadas e que, com isso, o texto precise voltar à Câmara, atrasando sua promulgação. Uma das pressões vem justamente do presidente Jair Bolsonaro, que prometeu ontem um reajuste a servidores federais caso a PEC fosse aprovada.
Apesar do movimento de hoje, o real segue com a melhor performance entre moedas emergentes nas últimas duas semanas, pondera Marcos Weigt, head de tesouraria do Travelex Bank. "O mercado segue precificando onde esse furo no teto vai parar, por isso tem um prêmio grande no câmbio. Acredito que, uma vez definido e se não houver nenhuma...
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