EUA podem liberar menos petróleo do que o anunciado devido a gargalos logísticos, diz UBS
As reservas de petróleo americano a serem liberadas podem ser menores que o anunciado pelo presidente Joe Biden na semana passada e que fizeram os preços do petróleo recuar mais de 13%, segundo relatório do UBS assinado pelo diretor global de investimentos do banco, Mark Haefele.
Segundo ele, as quatro cavernas subterrâneas localizadas no Texas e na Louisiana possuem uma capacidade nominal acima de 1 milhão de barris diários, mas os EUA nunca venderam um volume tão grande de petróleo. Além disso, ainda não está claro se há demanda das refinarias para tanto petróleo assim, considerado a qualidade inferior do petróleo estocado.
Além disso, alguns participantes do mercado acreditam que o volume das reservas liberadas pode ser limitado por gargalos logísticos, como limitação de capacidade dos oleodutos, o que pode fazer com o que o volume a ser liberado no período de seis meses fique abaixo dos 180 milhões de barris anunciados.
Haefele e sua equipe também destacam que liberar as reservas estratégicas de petróleo é como “chutar a lata rua abaixo”. Embora a liberação por um período de seis meses possa aliviar o atual aperto na oferta, não resolve o problema estrutural de escassez resultante de anos de investimentos baixos em um período de recuperação da demanda global de petróleo, diz o relatório.
Para os economistas do UBS...
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