Ibovespa fecha em alta, mas volatilidade tende a permanecer no curto prazo
Dados positivos vindos do exterior, como do mercado de trabalho nos Estados Unidos, e testes positivos da vacina contra a covid-19 garantiram a alta do Ibovespa neste primeiro pregão de junho e do segundo semestre de 2020. Volatilidade, entretanto, tende a ser a palavra de ordem no curto prazo diante de incertezas relacionadas a uma segunda onda de contágio da pandemia e com a desaceleração do ritmo de entrada de capital estrangeiro.
Após ajustes, o Ibovespa fechou em alta de 1,21%, aos 96.203 pontos. Na máxima dos 96.852 pontos, o avanço chegou a 1,89%. O índice não operou em baixa em nenhum momento desta sessão, atingindo a mínima de 95.062 pontos, estável ante o fechamento de ontem.
Entre os dados divulgados hoje que garantiram o tom positivo do Ibovespa, destaque para a notícia de que os laboratórios Pfizer e BioNTech registraram resultados positivos em primeira fase de teste da vacina contra a covid-19 e o relatório do mercado de trabalho da Automatic Data Processing (ADP), que apontou a criação de 2,369 milhões de vagas de emprego nos EUA em junho e revisou o número de maio para cima, de corte de 2,76 milhões de vagas para criação de 3,065 bilhões.
Apesar do pregão em alta hoje, a volatilidade deve ditar o movimento no curto prazo. A explicação está na redução do ritmo de ingresso do investidor estrangeiro e efeitos de uma nova onda de contágio da covid-19.
O mês de junho caminha para ser o primeiro do ano com fluxo positivo de recursos estrangeiros na B3, com saldo líquido de R$ 842,6 milhões até o dia 29.
Ainda assim, o ingresso do capital externo na bolsa perdeu muita força ao longo do mês. Até o dia 19 de junho, o fluxo na B3 estava positivo em R$ 3,168 bilhões. Mas, entre 22 e 26 de junho, esse tipo de investidor sacou liquidamente R$ 2,833 bilhões da B3. Depois disso, no dia 29, último dado disponível pela B3, houve...
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