Ibovespa renova mínima do ano em meio a incertezas sobre contas públicas de 2023
A falta de clareza dos investidores sobre qual será a dinâmica das contas públicas no ano que vem segue afastando o interesse por ativos de risco, o que levou o Ibovespa, novamente, a registrar mínimas de fechamento em 2021. Em dia de queda da Vale, siderúrgicas e bancos, o índice não conseguiu evitar seu quarto dia consecutivo de perdas.
O Ibovespa encerrou o pregão de hoje em baixa de 0,51%, aos 102.426,00 pontos, após ter oscilado entre os 103.757 pontos, nas máximas, e os 102.104 pontos, nas mínimas do dia. O volume negociado dentro do índice hoje foi de R$ 20 bilhões, nível que está abaixo da média de 2021, próxima de R$ 23 bilhões.
As ações da Vale ON encerraram o dia em queda de 4,11%, acompanhando os preços cadentes do minério de ferro. CSN ON recuou 5,35%, Gerdau PN caiu 4,11% e Usiminas PNA perdeu 5,70%. No setor financeiro, Itaú PN caiu 1,66%, Bradesco PN recuou 0,96% e Banco do Brasil ON caiu 0,75%.
"Essa seria a última barreira antes de aprofundar em mais quedas. Se isso ocorrer, em uma visão de médio prazo, o índice poderá buscar regiões como 102.000, 97.600 e 93.200 pontos, que foi a mínima registrada em outubro de 2020", dizem os analistas da instituição.
Para a Ágora, caso o Ibovespa conseguisse defender o patamar dos 102.800 pontos, haveria espaço para uma correção de alta no curto prazo, para o patamar de resistência marcado em 108.700 pontos.
"No sentido oposto, a confirmação da perda do suporte abriria caminho para continuidade do movimento de baixa em direção à região de fundo, projetada aos 99.500 pontos. Em ambos os cenários, a tendência de baixa no médio prazo seria mantida", apontam os grafistas da instituição.
No cenário atual, o mercado local de renda variável segue pressionado pelas incertezas fiscais relacionadas à aprovação da PEC dos Precatórios. "Assusta pensar que não há muito gatilho para melhora", afirma o sócio e economista-chefe da Tower...
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