Incerteza da Economia cai em julho, mas permanece elevada, diz FGV
O Indicador de Incerteza da Economia (IIE-Br), da Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV), caiu 9,9 pontos em julho de 2020, para 163,7 pontos. Após a terceira queda consecutiva, o indicador permanece 27 pontos acima do recorde anterior à pandemia de Covid-19, de 136,8 pontos, em setembro de 2015.
Em julho, os dois componentes do Indicador de Incerteza caminharam na mesma direção. O componente de Mídia, recuou 8,4 pontos, para 144,1 pontos, contribuindo negativamente em 7,3 pontos para a queda do índice geral no mês. Já o componente de Expectativas recuou 12,1 pontos, para 215,9 pontos - após acumular alta de 112,8 pontos entre março e maio -, com contribuição negativa de 2,6 pontos para o comportamento do IIE-Br
O componente Expectativas, ao permanecer acima de 200 pontos pelo quarto mês consecutivo, mostra como é difícil no momento se prever os rumos da economia no horizonte de 12 meses, uma vez que a fase crítica da pandemia será seguida por uma reabertura em que...
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