Indefinição sobre política econômica gera cautela e dólar tem volatilidade
Enquanto o mercado aguarda as definições sobre a política econômica e sobre quem estará no comando do Ministério da Fazenda no governo do presidente eleito Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), o dólar opera perto da estabilidade ante o real. Assim como nos pregões anteriores desta semana, a volatilidade alta continua a ser uma marca, em um momento no qual os agentes têm adotado um tom mais cauteloso nos negócios. O viés de alta do dólar no exterior ajuda a compor o cenário, enquanto os participantes do mercado observam, ainda, as eleições de meio de mandato nos Estados Unidos.Por volta de 12h45, o dólar era negociado a R$ 5,1736 no mercado à vista, em alta de 0,55%. No mesmo horário, o dólar futuro para dezembro avançava 0,37%, para R$ 5,1930, em um movimento consonante com o observado no exterior, onde o índice DXY, que mede o desempenho da divisa americana contra uma cesta de outras seis moedas principais, subia 0,64%, para 110,337 pontos.A falta de visibilidade sobre o plano fiscal a ser implementado pelo governo eleito tem elevado a cautela nos mercados, o que gera uma exigência dos agentes por prêmios de risco mais elevados tanto no câmbio quanto em outros ativos domésticos. "Além disso, todos esperam que o nome do ministro da Fazenda seja apontado para decidir o que fazer. A credibilidade é a coisa mais importante que deve definir o início dos mandatos presidenciais", aponta o diretor de tesouraria de um grande banco local. Para ele, a credibilidade é necessária para estabilizar os mercados financeiros.Enquanto a indefinição sobre a política econômica e o comando da Fazenda continuam em voga, o mercado tem operado com...
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