Invasão da Ucrânia pela Rússia limitará crescimento da América Latina, diz Moody’s
A América Latina tem poucos vínculos econômicos e financeiros diretos com a Rússia e a Ucrânia, mas isso não será suficiente para evitar aumento da inflação e probabilidade de continuidade de aperto da política monetária na região, afirma a Moody’s Investors Service, em novo relatório.
Segundo a agência de classificação de risco, o impacto virá por meio do aumento dos preços da energia e por uma nova rodada de choques de abastecimento que limitam o acesso às principais commodities agrícolas e industriais.
“O aumento dos preços do petróleo, alimentos e metais influenciam a inflação, o que levou a um aumento da taxa anual média na América Latina para 7,3% em fevereiro, de 2,8% no mesmo período do ano passado”, afirma Gersan Zurita, sênior vice-presidente na Moody’s.
O relatório destaca que a elevação dos preços das commodities beneficiará os produtores de energia em países nos quais os preços seguem a paridade internacional, tais como Brasil, Chile, Colômbia e Peru. No entanto, essa alta elevará custos dos insumos para transportes — o aumento dos preços dos combustíveis afetará as companhias aéreas, se não puderem elevar as passagens o suficiente para compensá-lo — e para a agricultura, já que as exportações de fertilizantes da Rússia são importantes para a América Latina...
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