Mudança em ICMS de gasolina e etanol pode empurrar IPCA para 6,6% em 2023, estima Itaú
Se a essencialidade na gasolina e no etanol cair e as alíquotas de ICMS voltarem ao patamar anterior, o cenário do Itaú Unibanco para inflação neste ano pode passar de 6,1% para 6,6%.A expectativa atual do banco, de 6,1%, considera fatores realizados e previstos. Contabiliza a queda de quase 4% no preço da gasolina nas refinarias da Petrobras e o retorno parcial de PIS/Cofins sobre combustíveis determinado pelo governo.Leia mais:Gasolina sobe 6,09% após reoneração dos combustíveisPara Mario Mesquita, diálogo é marca forte de Haddad, que 'ganha batalhas' com reoneraçãoCrescimento da dívida pública ‘é algo com que a gente deve se acostumar’, afirma economista-chefe do ItaúAlém disso, o Itaú espera mais um corte nas refinarias, de 7%, e a reoneração completa dos combustíveis até o fim do ano.No meio do ano passado, em meio à corrida presidencial, o então presidente Jair Bolsonaro (PL) incluiu a gasolina e o etanol à lista de itens essenciais, o que limitou o ICMS cobrado pelos Estados sobre esses produtos."Com o fim da essencialidade, com a volta das alíquotas de ICMS ao patamar de 2022...
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