PIB da construção deve crescer 1,2% no ano, ante 6,85% em 2022, calcula Sinduscon-SP
O PIB da construção civil deve terminar o ano com alta de 1,2%, segundo projeção divulgada pelo Sindicato da Construção (Sinduscon-SP), em coletiva, nesta quarta-feira (6). O indicador recuou 3,8% no terceiro trimestre.Ana Maria Castelo, coordenadora de projetos de construção do FGV-Ibre, afirmou que essa queda frustra as expectativas iniciais para o ano. No começo de 2023, era esperado um crescimento de 2,4% para o PIB do setor, que avançou 6,85% em 2022.O mercado formal de construção cresceu e contratou mais — há alta de quase 7% no saldo de trabalhadores com carteira assinada — mas a construção "formiguinha", feita pelas famílias, que envolve as vendas de materiais de construção no varejo e a contratação informal de prestadores de serviço, influenciou no crescimento menor do que o projetado, explicou Castelo.Para 2023, é esperada uma queda de 2,8% no PIB da construção referente ao consumo das famílias, enquanto na área de infraestrutura, por exemplo, a expectativa é de alta de 4,5%.Consumo de materiais de construção e taxa de jurosCastelo afirmou que se esperava para 2023 uma recuperação do consumo de materiais de construção por parte das famílias, após um 2022 já de queda, o que não ocorreu. "Havia expectativa de melhora de trabalho e da renda, mas isso não se transformou em consumo de materiais".A explicação, segundo ela, é que reformas foram antecipadas ainda em 2020, quando houve pico de demanda por materiais. "Depois, o consumo foi direcionado para outros serviços".Yorki Stefan, presidente do Sinduscon-SP, ressalta que o crescimento previsto de 1,2% para o PIB setorial é efeito da taxa de juros "restritiva", que prejudica o consumo das famílias. Com a continuidade do ciclo de queda da Selic, é esperado que haja uma leve retomada do consumo no ano que vem.Imóveis de...
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